Can you Beat the Odds?

Pick-A-Card Game

How to Play

  1. Choose one of the four cards you are shown and then press “PLAY.”
  2. If your card matches the dealer’s card you win 3 credits (the dealer’s card is randomly chosen from the 4 aces)
  3. Once you have finished your plays, click on “GAME ANALYSIS PAGE” at the top to get information on the session you played.
  4. Don’t forget to check out the “RANDOM NUMBER GENERATOR,” “HOUSE ADVANTAGE” and “LONG TERM RESULTS” tabs as well.

Game Analysis Page

Results of Games Just Played

How did you do? Did you win more or less than 1 in every 4 tries? Maybe you got exactly 1 out of every 4 right which is about average for this game.

In the long term you’ll guess the correct suit about 25% of the time.

Now look at your results in terms of credits. Are you ahead or behind?

Keep in mind that this game, like most games, has a house advantage: it only pays 3 when you win while the odds of winning are 1 in 4.

Random Number Generator

Results on electronic games likes slot machines are determined by a Random Number Generator (RNG).

The RNG inside every machine is continually generating thousands of numbers every second, 24 hours a day, 7 days a week – even when no one is playing.

In Pick-A-Card, each of the RNG’s one million numbers is assigned to one of the four suits (1 = spades, 2 = hearts, etc.). When you hit the “Play” button you select the number being generated by the RNG at that split second. That number is converted to its assigned suit and then shown as the dealer’s card. Pushing the button an instant later or earlier might select a different suit.

Of course most real slot machines use more than just four symbols; however, the way results are generated is the same as described above.

House Advantage

All casino games are designed to pay out less money than they take in.

Our Pick-A-Card game is not a real casino game but it’s based on the same principles: over time it will pay out less money than it takes in. Here’s how it works:

Your odds of winning are 1 in 4 but you are only paid 3 when you win. This difference creates the House Advantage. When you play Pick-A-Card, over time you’ll spend/lose about 25% of all the money you bet.

Play a few hands and follow your results in the “Game Stats” and “Player Outcome” areas.

Long Term Results

On any given play, the winning suit is random and unpredictable. In the short term, one suit may be chosen more or less than the others (play a few times using the single trial option).

Now chose the multiple trial option and try thousands of trials. What do you notice?

Over time, the results gradually even out. This game has 4 possible outcomes, each with an equal chance of being chosen. After thousands of games, each suit will have been chosen about 25% of the time (the theoretical average).

Real casino games are more complicated but work in the same way. You may have a series in the short term, but in the long term your results will be about average.

With the House Advantage built into all casino games, you will end up spending more money than you will win in the long term.